August 4, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | High Francesco | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King’s Dream | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Enduring Arch | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Don’t Tap and Tell | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cape Marco Drive | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Zeus | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Broadcast Time | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | El Emanuel | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Loose Note | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jaiden’s Choice | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kanaris | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Summer Spice | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Escribiente | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moreno Mojo | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soldat’s Storm | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Aristteles | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing the Stars | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Leroi’s Gem | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Schweets | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Salute and Serve | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stay in Cruise | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raise Em Up | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Motatan | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Gran Network | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Cleave | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mosca | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gerrys Big Win | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dana Grace | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Redouble | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paisley Princess | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Valentina | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rosedale | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Say Adios | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Purple Girl | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twitch Again | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Light Show | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Diamonds | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Trip the Queen | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Order In | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Paola | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Passion for Hope | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winning Game | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gran Aventura | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run Gal Run | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Little Dirty Girl | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Emerson’s Queen | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Happy Princess | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Soroa | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Bonita | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cocktails Or Candy | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thirstyforamiracle | 30.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cautious Giant | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Splash Rules | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Front Loaded | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Santiamen | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Friend Flavin | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Phantom Ro | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hy Kodiak Warrior | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Chelsey | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kinghood | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Dizzy Gillespie | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Tay | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tale of Fancy | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Abbot | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiger Paw | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Good and Proper | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Martini Kid | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Fire | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Just Souper | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Kitt | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dance Till Dawn | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Itsmyluckycharm | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Madelyn’s Dancer | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret O’Life | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Veldt | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chic and Sexy | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mesa Madeira | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Return the Favor | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Judith Can | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Distinctly Blue | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Princes Dynamite | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fairy Goddess | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Reorganize | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Riley Rules | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quasar Moon | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coral Legacy | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Luna | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chinomado | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Curioso | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Homedrill | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | River God | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Loquacious | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scoobydoopapa | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prolific Runner | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Solve | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chiseled | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Charlie the Greek | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peace Points | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moonlight Bandit | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Over Limit | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jaiden’s Best | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | The Money Train | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | W W Concerto | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Rocky | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sanfilipo | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | McFly | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hard Count | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Buzz | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bal Bay Drive | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Elgin Escape | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Winter Wolf | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saint Larned | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Geonosis | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Leo | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Robintakincharge | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Malio’s | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Devera’s Way | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stirling Drive | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Golden Kantharos | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Eddie E | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Union Grace | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Deneb | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sal’s Jet | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Jr | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Command Peter | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Smart Dude | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coracrevi Team | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tempter | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rollin | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Ftboa Florida Sire Dr. Fager S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fully Loaded | 0.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nacho Papa | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Take Command | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackson | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Firecracker | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Embers | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Garter and Tie | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Garbar Boy | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arba | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cosmic Shift | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Ftboa Florida Sire Desert Vixen S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Capture Your Dream | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starry Affair | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nancysaidso | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Valkyrie Gold | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Starship Nala | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Select Friday | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bimini | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capriati | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Samoa | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cookie Dough | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Snowzilla | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | First Time Proud | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | She’s Unbridled | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bit Coin Queen | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.