August 4, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fortnite Dance | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tanker | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Samurai Jack | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Its Gonna Hurt | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Night Ops | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Surprise Fashion | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oil Can Knight | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drill Down Dude | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lead Star | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Closing Time | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Night At the Opera | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Surfside Sunset | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Downside Up | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Walker | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Artistic Ab | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rocky Rogue | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Typhoon | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Albert Hall (GB) | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moonlight Drive (ITY) | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Play Hard to Get | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Papa | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Any Questions | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Temple Keys | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dano’s Dream | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Graduation S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Luck’s Royal Flush | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tap the Wire | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Silver Oak | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oliver | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carnivorous | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grab the Munny | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bea’s Boy | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Royal Descendent | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tandalicious | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | What’s Bruin | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Varanasi | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Come On Kat | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kindred | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Madaket Sunset | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Oiseau de Guerre | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Juanito | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Placido | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | The Rule of King’s | 0.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Lauren’s Ladd | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Facts Matter | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What’sontheagenda | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Catfish Hunter | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Conquest Superstar | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Circus Act | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fight On | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Heart Awakens | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cummings | 12.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stylistics United | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Flying Scotsman | 0.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dark Prince | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Babael | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Extra Hope | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Absolute Control | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Easy Shot | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Neptune’s Storm | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dinesen | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sigalert | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lacazette | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Easy Keeper | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stubbins | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Union Station | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Yellow Ribbon H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Cambodia | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fahan Mura | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Storm the Hill | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sophie P (GB) | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Madame Stripes (ARG) | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beau Recall (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ancient Secret | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Pantsonfire (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hallie Belle | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sassy Little Lila | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Crossing (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tisbutadream (IRE) | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Solid Wager | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flagstaff | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All Out Blitz | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Street Vision | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tatters to Riches | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grazen Sky | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Make It a Triple | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grade One | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cats Blame | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Pass | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gracida | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shades of Victory | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zipman | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | King Caymus | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Data Central | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Starting Bloc | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aussie Fox | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dignitaire | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Capall | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pointed | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Spring | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Fury | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Gotnoquit | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spirit Mission | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Katie’s Cowboy | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bitter Ring Home | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.