August 3, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Honey Parade | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Cassies Dreamer | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Vampish | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ballybrack Lass | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Whyisshesoolucky | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Malibu Mischief | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Miss Kapinator | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jordy’s Ready | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Salt Pond | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saturdays Vapor | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Timeless Beauty | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Money Purse | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | One Wise Lady | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lip Sync | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Know Point Given | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chosen One Elijah | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sudden Surprise | 1.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | H Man | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ostrolenka | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stone to Gold | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Global Positioning | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | For Pops | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Arewehavingfunyet | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Bounty | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Kindness | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zeven | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Patriotic Endeavor | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Madame Barbarian | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Miss Julia | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Quietude | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Give Me a Hug | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | More Mischief | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | She Will Rock | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Trouble | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Three Birds | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mom’s Kisses | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mary’s Girl | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Banker | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hannah’s Smile | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Beaux Arts | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cirque | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Wantagh Queen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Stonefactor | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Mystique | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Dreams Are Pazible | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lulu’s Pom Pom | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Lune Lake | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Rock Ave. Road | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Louisiana Lady | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kingdom’s Queen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | We Are Family | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anne Dupree | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Value | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bazooka Girl | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Affagato | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fixedincome Larry | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tiz He the One | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Weather Wiz | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Proven Reserves | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Can You Diggit | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Uncle Sigh | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Demolition | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holland Park | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inherent | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Meistermind | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – National Museum Of Racing Hall Of Fame S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sand Dancer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Battle At Sea | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Gidu (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maraud | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Raging Bull (FR) | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Combatant | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ride a Comet | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Westerland (GB) | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Have At It | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gunnison | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gemonteer | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Laura’s Posse | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Engineers Report | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Carmine’s Honor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Regalian | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Four Freedoms | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flatexcel | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Fixit | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Can’tweallgetalong | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Buss the Bell | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gio Lucky | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.