August 3, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Will Tell | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | R Cha Cha | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey Ginger | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Staxx | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Heights | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | We Go Now | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Powder | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silverspun Pickup | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tribal Dance | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Discatsonthesquare | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pied N True | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Family Girl | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Unusual | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chloe Belle | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chocolate Goddess | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Ten Count Out | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Heaven Escape | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Chalky (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Into Glamour | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Roses and Candy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sunday Prophet | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Turing Machine | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Himmah (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Temple Princess | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Point to Point | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Conformation | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gamezapper | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trophy Bridle | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Room to Finish | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Captivate | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Honeymoonz Over | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sequentially | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Caray | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Haylord | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Wager | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Romano | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Invasion Looming | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Giddymeister | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | From the Distance | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Warm It Up | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Married by Now | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | November Tale (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mo See Cal | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Sensation | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tell Me More | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Foxtail | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Road Test | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spectacular Move | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Super Patriot | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mongolian Humor | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quinnie | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Beware (IRE) | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Slick Chick | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mobou | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leadville | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Offshore Affair | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Starring John Wain | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silken Prince | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Its Five Somewhere | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three Ay Em | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fig | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Heatwave | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Lil Champ | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Daisycutter H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Okinawa | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Out of The Flames (GB) | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spellker | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Go On Mary | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Phantom Proton | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Symposium (GB) | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Desert Steel | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Shopper | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Berryessa (IRE) | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Whatyouciswhatuget | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kelseybelle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gia Lula | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baby Ice | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Authority | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Breathless Charm | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Copper Cowgirl | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trappiza | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peachy | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spacerika | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scurry | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grecian Fort | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chapis | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | True Martha | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.