August 2, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Won Love | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bustin Hearts | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Satin Sheets | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lightning Lilly | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gypsy Jo | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Archumybaby | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Ready to Escape | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 6 | Light the Posse | 0.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wild Road | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | San Juan Diego | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Heist | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Claude’salleycat | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tenency | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dark N Cloudy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Shiny Copper Penny | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 4 | Business Cycle | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Hizeem | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6A | 4 | Frontier Market | 1.20 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Piantagrane | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Justinspeightofit | 50.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Lonhtwist | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hierarchy | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Chantry Flats | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Birdstone S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | You’re to Blame | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Big Dollar Bill | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Study | 0.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carlino | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Archanova | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Patriotic Endeavor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Loose | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Daring Prospect | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Asian’s Way | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No More Excuses | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Non Finisce Mai | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | E Warfare | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brooklyn Gal | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jordy’s Ready | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cottonwood Falls | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 5 | Malarkey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Know Point Given | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Jasmine’s Gem | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Souper Echo | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Diva’s Revenge | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Currency Chaos | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12A | 8 | My Sister’s Keeper | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rubellite | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Deal | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Beyondelle | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hoard | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cross Border | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Herecomesyourman | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sport | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sentry | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miles of Humor | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lil Commissioner | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Honey Dont | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shortlist | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Knockholt | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dream Pauline | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mizzen Max | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wisconsin Night | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Critique | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shimmering Moon | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Naples Princess | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Isotope | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Always On My Mind | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Care Lady (ARG) | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Onthemoonagain (FR) | 1.20 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Con Te Partiro | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dynatail | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Danceland | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Promise Kept | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 6 | Special Trip | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Supercommittee | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Screen Image | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mambo Dancer | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Muchacha Uno | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Market Alley | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Fling | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lolli | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love Mo | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paddydunalot | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.