August 2, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ready and Rich | 1.20 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dazzling Truths | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cloudcraze | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Michael T | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Snaffallini | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dabo | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tequila Cowboy | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flatster | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hurraca | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Nook | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Lemon Grove | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Celtic Gold | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Darlin Rosie | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Saturday’s Song | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lady Dozer | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hope N Wishes | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Greeleys Angel | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gladtobehere | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Cammack | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zulu Alpha | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fifth Title | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Storm Advisory | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Le Ken (ARG) | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Belomor | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Aktabantay (GB) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Red Corvette | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Tiz Samurai | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Half of Manhattan | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Croce d’Oro | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Dart | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | On the Lam | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Giacallure | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | High On Sugar | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Contraction | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pleasant Street | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Round Hill | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trumpified | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warleggan | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soloist | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hansen Gone West | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Invictor | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seeking Fast | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The Moment Is Now | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hero of the Hour | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Ecru | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Farat | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Soul of the Hero | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Vincitore | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Maligator | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Crown Regent | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Attain Success | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cloud to Ground | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Drayke’s Channel | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | River Evangelist | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zarski | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Colonel Fred | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Yourdecisionotmine | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Got Gold | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hart Hills Road | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Charm Offensive | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kid Mac Cool | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapizone | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Netela | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Limestone | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fist Full | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Alazan Shiner | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mendota | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Arrogant | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Timingiseverything | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Summer Disco | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steelman Run | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Prize Native | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.