August 1, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stonegate | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pleasant d’Oro | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Guinness | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trojan Spirit | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Justin’s Quest | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caribbean (AUS) | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Be a Lady | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wonderful Lie | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Dorian | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time and Chance | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ransomed | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Skeeter Davis | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ib Prospecting | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Li’l Grazen | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Sell | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gotta Be Lucky | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zo Lo’s Lov | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Creative Instinct | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Naturalborn Singer | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stylin Ocean | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mz Brown | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Incensed | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Skelton Pass | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lauren’s Ladd | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | R Cha Cha | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ronald R (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Krsto Skye | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Our Independence | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Mr Cruze | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brandothebartender | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Puriano | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Coastline | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Regal Born | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Forest Chatter | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ivy Mike | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Polity | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Gray Admiral | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Hard Arch | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wise Curlin | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taniko | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Super Echelon | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Katzumoto | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rolls Royce Deal | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hootie | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marckie’s Water | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tartini | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uber Star | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hot American | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Acker | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Over Thinking | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kitten’s Royal | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – California Thoroughbred Breeders’ Association S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Time for Kisses | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Montana Sunset | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lippy | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Accomplishedsister | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Naughty Tiger | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cozze Kid | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Six Pack Gal | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Scatapulp | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Time for Suzzie | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tengs Rhythm | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dianka | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Western Mongolia | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Curlina Curlina | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Royal C | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Girl Drama | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eye of the River | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Irish Lassie | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fluorescent | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gray Diva | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Dreamer | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Nicole | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quizlet | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dev Mo | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.