Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, July 30, 2018

July 30, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Shiitake 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Clutch Catch 3.50 3.9 7-1
1A 5 Contingent Payment 0.80 4.1 8-1
1 3 Gran Fortress 0.80 4.1 8-1
7 8 Brown Bear 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 7 Case the Place 20.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Soul Revival 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 1 Victorious Venture 30.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Black Queen 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Natalie La Rose 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Axe Capital 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Silver Ring 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Hide a Rose 4.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Faithinvictoria 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Dudes Rockin Lady 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Starship Reina 1.20 3.1 6-1
3 3 Trusty Roll 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Celesse 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Appealing Miss 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Sneaky Cowgirl 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Pink Princess 6.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Perfect Cocktail 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bloody Point 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Bella Lou 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Katy Drama 3.50 3.4 7-1
3 3 Charlybrown’s Rose 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Doctorsofmischief 8.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Batmitzvah 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Desirous 1.80 3.3 6-1
7 7 Kendyl Elizabeth 4.50 3.4 7-1
5 5 Little Lu 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Bird of Prey 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 High Math 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Atina Salsa 10.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Hello Moon 12.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 6 Thomas Knight 8.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Moon Gate Warrior 3.50 SCRATCH
6 4 Aztec Sense 0.50 2.2 4-1
7 6 Champagne Chuck 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 3 Car Fifty Four 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 1 Tempestuous Angel 15.00 4.2 8-1
1A 5 Ruby Bleu 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 2 Harpoon 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 12 Spring Emperor 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Jack O Liam 30.00 SCRATCH
1A 6 Papa Jones 6.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Clowney 3.00 2.1 4-1
10 9 Only You 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Noble Kent 4.50 4.6 9-1
7 6 Kraken Glacken 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Bud Fox 10.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 Speaker John 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 3 Philly Completely 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Battle Tap 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 1 Midnight Rumble 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 8 Midnight Poker 0.60 SCRATCH
5 5 Wonderfully Tuned 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 2 Honor and Courage 0.60 3.6 7-1
2 1 Jw’strickymischief 3.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Unto Thou 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Huntin’theholidays 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Risque Rebel 30.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Every Step 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Stoneheart Lady 5.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Mymomsablond 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Simuladora 4.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Chocolate Candy 2.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 You’re Dreamin 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Georgia Bonnet 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 Powder Puff Girl 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Pastiche 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Savannah’s Dream 20.00 5.9 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.