July 29, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Superdyne | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Congaree Gal | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | She’s a Fine Line | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Because I’m Olivia | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prada Storm | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen’s All Mine | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Royale | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ain’t Dat Sweet | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rocket Queen | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’ve Got Issues | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curlin’s Prize | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maria’s Moment | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amazing Annie | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Drama | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Soloist | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Hellofaguy | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cartiac Road | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shaban | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spectacular Act | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | U S S Altair | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Expect Elprada | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Starstruck Kitten | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Santa Americana | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | She’sadowntowngirl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Miracle Mountain | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Volgograd | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Big Dinner | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smokinwatchstopper | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Prince Arlo | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Something Kinky | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Banjo Cat | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crafty’s Way | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kool Kate | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pura Lica | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ima Little Kitten | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baltic Star | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jami Racer | 0.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Special Conquest | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Have the Facts | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tomasita | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Seashell | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Smokin Here | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hero Alexandra | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hear the Kiss | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ms. Mary Joe | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Roskilde | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spanish Justice | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Pretty Boy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Riv | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Only Liquor | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bootleggin | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fleetway | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flyingbyu | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Arch Away | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Fringe | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky At Justice | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Americanperfection | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lakota Rose | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mongolian Time | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Indigirka | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Countess St Michel | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Circuit Reboot | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.