July 28, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Chasing Yesterday | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scarlet | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Culver Miss | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whiff of Intrigue | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Point Received | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lily Con | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honeyfromthesouth | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Ten Count Out | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Eagle Ease | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Stradella Road | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Storming Lady | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Suspicious Spouse | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Token Vow | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Great Return | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | K P’s Smokin | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Social Etiquette | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Screenshot | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Dorie | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Grandma Gertrude | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dashing Debut | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kochees | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Very Very Stella | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Destiny | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Anywhere | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pure Comedy | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tavasco Road | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kershaw | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Git On Your Pulpit | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bank Walker | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Imagineiamfastest | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | California King | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Violent Affair | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Camp Counselor | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seventh Wave | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | When Jesus Walked | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pioneer Lad | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Force (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Cool Green | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | The Big Train | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Moxie | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Avalanche | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Allaboutmike | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Terrys Tom Cat | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dreams of Valor | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Music | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Comma Sister | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Popyhowuspelcupcak | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bold Fantasy | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jay Makes Us Laugh | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joe Jackson | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tough But Nice | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rinse and Repeat | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tanners Pride | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Minister of Soul | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caiifornia Clone | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Schulace | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ground Attack | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – California Dreamin’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Soi Phet | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Pee Wee Reese | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ashleyluvssugar | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | What a View | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | B Squared | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fly to Mars | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Well Developed | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grecian Fire | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Accountability | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Ward ‘n Jerry | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Camino Del Paraiso | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alsatian | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sing a Solo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Broome | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Topaz Time | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Neon Gypsy | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Swallows Inn Gal | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pulpitinthesky | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Rachel | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Millie Joel | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Innyminniemineymoe | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Calimonco Action | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clean Living | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yalla | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bing Crosby S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Roy H | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ransom the Moon | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Anthem | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | St. Joe Bay | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stallwalkin’ Dude | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Edwards Going Left | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Touching Rainbows | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Pastime | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stone Hands | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Annie’s Candy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tribal Storm | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | An American Jet | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tanker | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Tariq | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | More Ice | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Oracle of Omaha | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ocean Fury | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Forloveofcountry | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Alleva | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Biz Nasty | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Saltarin | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | King of Speed | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wilt | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fort Dodge | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | After You | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.