July 27, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Analyzethisandthat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Freudnme | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 2 | Sounds Good | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 5 | Center City | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Bankit | 0.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3B | 1 | The Grand Canal | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Frosted Ice | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Lumberer | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Coach Villa | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Bret’s Legacy | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Beach Waltz | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Oldfashioned Style | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Night Owl | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Classic Lady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 3 | Hera | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Radiant Beauty | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Sheputaspellonme | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Pure Magic | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Change of Venue | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 7 | Wegotoldyougotsold | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Southeast | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carmine’s Honor | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hokulea | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Engineers Report | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ride On Faith | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kingston Pike | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vicar’s Legend | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fried Baloney | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Belgian | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shangroyal | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mini Miles | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rappel | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Canadian Flyer | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Queens Jules | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Call Me a Star | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | La Cat Warrior | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Wrong Ben | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stoney Bennett | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bluegrass Express | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charlie McCoy | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | It’s Hot Out | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | D’yer Mak’er | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Candy Zip | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Freud’s Affair | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Neverindicted | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Belle of the Spa | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Broken Border | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Out of Trouble | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Vortex Road | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Table for Six | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Hardcandy | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bareeqa | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Glory to Kitten | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tearless | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sugar Mags | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Blasted Boss | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bonita Springs | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Free N Clear | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 5 | Paula’s Pistol | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | Miss Aja Brown | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Saida | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Silver Magnolia | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lakota | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Powerful Ally | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Flowers for Lisa | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Mojo | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Virtual Machine | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Casses Story | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Ballantine | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Shot | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All About Ashley | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Curlin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Reride | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hofburg | 0.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Madison’s Luna | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nicodemus | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zing Zang | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Lincoln | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Posse’s Paradise | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Wappinger | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Trinni Ninja | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tequila Sunday | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 15 | 14 | Lightworker | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Aly’s All Out | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Thirsty Gal | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Vicki | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zecha | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Frosted Mint Chip | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Misty Forest | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Third Card Down | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Very Charming | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | One Cool Kitten | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gentle Annie | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.