July 27, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Jericho Marsh |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Bel Giorno |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Trade the Pick |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Charismatic Blue |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
8 |
Zaptuit |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
4 |
Shanghai Storm |
1.80 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
7 |
Redeemed Gentleman |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
12 |
9 |
Hunt Me Down |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nuclear Code |
2.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
2 |
French’s Quest |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
5 |
Idle Wind |
6.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
9 |
6 |
Crossing the Blues |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
3 |
Doctor Padmore |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Glenn’s Caper |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Smart Two a T |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Doctor Leo J |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
A Lotta Wine |
1.60 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
C M Runaway |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Flashy Baron |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Look Within |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Where’s the Ben’s |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Awesome Bill |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
I Came to Party |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dogtown |
2.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tequila Hero |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Danny My Boy |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mid Ocean |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Daylight Ahead |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Elandess |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Summer Frock |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Misericordia (GB) |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Passionate Emotion |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
3 |
Fly |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
10 |
5 |
Renaissance Rosie |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
2 |
Belles Orb |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Elusive Joni |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
4 |
Eye On Berlin |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Stevie’s Joy |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Army Grey |
1.60 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Robbie |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Calculated Thinkin |
2.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Free to Trump |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Samuel Star |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zeke the Streak |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Eighty Bucks |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Gnarly |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Simpson |
1.40 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Smart Step |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cerulean Springs |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kukulkan |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Creative Style |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Turnstyle |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
Tennessee Wildcat |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
I’m Mr. Blue |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Frasero (ARG) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Diana’s Vendetta |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Intrepid Citizen |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Shan Dian Kia |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
15A |
15 |
Tens Wild |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
8 |
Visual Effect |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
11 |
6 |
Flyingtobechilders |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
4 |
Rare Eagle |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
The Catmancan |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
12A |
7 |
Tuffy’s Lucky |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
5 |
Therestishistory |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
3 |
Top Prospect |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
2 |
It’s a Plane |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Tam O’Shanter |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mr. Brix |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stolen Love |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Union Blues |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fleet Gold Digger |
6.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Clubman |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Twin Valor |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hill Shadow |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Corvus |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Standard Deal |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Gray Veil |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Ms Eileen |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Lucy in the Sky |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
7 |
Enterprise Value |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Include a Check |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Kitty’s Right |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
6 |
Honor N Grace |
30.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Dat Dares Gold |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Saint Abbey |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Intractable |
30.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.