July 27, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fabriana | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | U Turn the Page | 1.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twilight Warrior | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Track Magic | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thecatisontheroof | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Francis Leal | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Petal Path | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Unscathed | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Richiesgotswagger | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Another Richie | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Spectacular Road | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Purely Given | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Oshie Go | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Miracle Mountain | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Return of the Rock | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Senor Blanco | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prima Storm | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cortege | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kyzan | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sea Rover | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Carlos | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | P J’s Awesome | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Carnoustie | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Solar Flair | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Way | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Electrifying | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nobiz Like Sue Biz | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Response | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lasting Impact | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Can She Scoot | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Drip Brew | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zaphical | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Desert Image | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Je Suis Belle | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Neuqua | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Notnthemoodforthat | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tam | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Roskilde | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | M C Squared | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Savemethelastdance | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wake Up Joe | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Commish | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Baltar | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flashdance Road | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Franklin County | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chrome Attack | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Carnival Colors (GB) | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Craft Show | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fend | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ultra Mission | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kajawa | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | American Biz | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Southern Attack | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Locash | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Wayaway | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Go Baby Run | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Mo Justice | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Na Pali Spirit | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Goddess of Kip | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | V J’s Bet | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Market Top | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | As Fast as You Can | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Got the Boy | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Classy Woman | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Air Turbulence | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flash N Go | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.