July 26, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lesley’s Song | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Boujie Girl | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Midnight Miracle | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Noonshine | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Devils Dance | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Staythirstymyamigo | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Exotic Ghost | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rprettyboyfloyd | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourque | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Banze No Oeste (BRZ) | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sense of Glory | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Steel Plank | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drummer (GER) | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Troutman | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Original Intent | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Samdar | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Famous Rock Star | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | John and Montan | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Worthy Turk | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Friend Tony | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Treasure Hunter | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neighborhood Bully | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Crew | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Sky | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Soot | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bright Autism Mind | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fender Bender | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Monterey Shale | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Seau | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kona Dreams | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Arch Prince | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lymebyrd | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Run Like Rhett | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Twirling Tiger | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pioneerof the West | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Baby Gronk | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Valiant | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Red Envelope | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Air Jockey | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Bad Gary | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | True Regards | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Terrible Ted | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whoa Buddy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Mesquite | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Sapphire Kid | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Clearly Gone | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Funny Bean | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Streak of Luck | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ragazza Di Vola | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | X S Gold | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rolling Shadow | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nice Ice | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sea Smoke | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Easy Song | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A Walk in the Park | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lemon Crush | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moonshine Annie | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inland Empire | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Irish Terrier | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Pretalk | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Red Clem | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No New Friends | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Alarm | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Handsome John | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eighty Proof | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | R U Serious | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warrensdirtydancer | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Acclamation King | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Park Hill Diamond | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | U S Lawman | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.