July 25, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Always Believe | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Robin’s Love | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Duranga | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miz Tianjin | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dizzy Diva | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tee Em Eye | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Empress of Lov | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tidal Effect | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Momma’s Baby Boy | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Street to Indy | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Earnednevergiven | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bartlett Hall | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Littlebitamedal | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thefourfortyfourth | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tomasino | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bargaining | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louden’s Gray | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bow and Arrow | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Adriatic Son | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lambo Luxx | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rocket Fuel | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Upperclassman | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Wine and Dine | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Liberal | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tribalist | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz a Billy | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adens Dream | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Law Abidin Citizen | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Right Hand Man | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vorticity | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | For the Hustle | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Black Storm | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cayate | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Friendly Steve | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hoss Cartwright | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sound Logic | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Achieved | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Poise to Strike | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Dr. Troutman | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Original Intent | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | John and Montan | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Famous Rock Star | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Souter (GB) | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Amazon Cry | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Extreme Heat | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spa Shackalacka | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jimmy D | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Son of War | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bob’s Bad Boy | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Taste’s Legend | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glorious Crown | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kinematico | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Cougar Ii H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Deal With It Dude | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hoppertunity | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Prince of Arabia | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Full of Luck (CHI) | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unapologetic | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Scotty | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Beach View | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twentytwentyvision | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Cali Eagle | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Kalsa | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kya | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tapalita | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | Belle Monte | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Sea Glass | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Red Bomber | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Ice | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Grace Hopper | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pray for Corday | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Omerta | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Veiled Heat | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eurasia | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | As a Rule | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.