July 22, 2018 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rooster Bay | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Justa Streak | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Parkes | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mudd Dobber | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cowboys Ransome | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love My Grammy | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Megavolt | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Double Barrel Man | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crawford | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cougar Country | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Horse Fly | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Proper Decorum | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mahalo John | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rebel Rouser | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Later Lover Boy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Samurai Ranger | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Butler County Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Javu | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Noble Stone | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jdub’s Jet | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Country Cure | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Howard Street | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Twenty Bucks | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dazzle Em Hickory | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mt. Candy Land | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Superserg | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yukon Trail | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Be Stormy | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | J P of Galilee | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mimi’s Money | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Break Free | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dowlingfourtyeight | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Skippy’s Strike | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brides Last Affair | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Native Wonder | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Web of Demons | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queenerella | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seattle Firm | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hold the Crown | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valid Cause | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mingo Ruler | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gilded | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Louise’s Legacy | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flowinwiththebreez | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Easy Nights | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Tricky | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Taima Thunder | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Matchlock | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Holds Barred | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Iowa Native | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flashy Em | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holdthatlove | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Molleck | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Water Moccasin | 0.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gerdy’s Boy | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Northern Big Iron | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Marco | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jett Bound | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Steviesgoldenchild | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carbaugh | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Franciscus | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.