July 22, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Deputy Bernardini | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paddock Pick | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Am the Danger | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Town Champ | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Croatian | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aggressivity | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Northrndancrsghost | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bold Papa | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cimpl Man | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stringent | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Secreto Primero | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gain Ground | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broken Up | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trifecta | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rate for Me | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mongolian Greywolf | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stop the Violence | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Risky Proposition | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Platinum Equity | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goodwillambassador | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Italiano | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lolly Express | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Morning | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Trust Fund Kitty | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Venezuelan Gold | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tonahutu (IRE) | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Bee to You | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tizanillusion | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Cute Knows Cute | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Atlantic | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Vallestina | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Late ‘n Left | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Kentan Road | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Silken Spy | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ruby Trust | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Smiling Tigress | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Berryessa (IRE) | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Cat Holic | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lakerball | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swing Thoughts | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Disco Tale | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rolinga | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Storms a Brewn | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gee Cee Cee | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizbuds Princess | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spicy Curry | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Suzzett | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s a Dime | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Wickerr S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Liam the Charmer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Editore (BRZ) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Conquest Tsunami | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Big Score | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Colonist | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Perfectly Majestic | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Bombard | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cistron | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forever Juanito | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Rush Dancer | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Isotherm | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tule Fog | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Double Touch (GB) | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Giant Payday | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | She Rocks the Look | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | She’s My Gem | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Over Emphasize | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tapwater | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mother Mother | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Queen of the Track | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Calm Down Lady | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Creative Romance | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Eddie Read S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flamboyant (FR) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Itsinthepost (FR) | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hunt (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sharp Samurai | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Fashion Business (GB) | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Next Shares | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bowies Hero | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Multiplier | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Catapult | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | True Valour (IRE) | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Prime Attraction | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Zuzanna | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dizzy Diva | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tiki Bar Logic | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Honor Maker | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Skeeter Davis | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | If You Like It | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Detail | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Ryder’s Starlight | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Brookes All Mine | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Resky Business | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scathing | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ipray | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Veronica Bay | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 9 | Jersey Buns | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.