July 21, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Reedini |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
10 |
Censure |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Love You Much |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Robey’s Boy |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fly E Dubai |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blame Will |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Seven Gems |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mr. October |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hurricane Bear |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Princetonian |
15.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Runaway Bull |
30.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Charley Eckman |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Crazed |
1.80 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Shelly Island |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Odds R Against Us |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Golden Noguez |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tizprocess |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Uncle Paul |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
America’s Prince |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Boos (FR) |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Dare to Be |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
4 |
Rocky Policy |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
3 |
Munificent |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
2 |
Up Hill Battle |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
1 |
Keep Your Distance |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Inchesky (IRE) |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
2A |
2 |
Super Artist |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Amplify |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Kid Jeter |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
8 |
His Royal Majesty |
1.60 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6A |
3 |
Gio Dude |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
2 |
Godlovesasinner |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
11 |
7 |
Throw the Deuce |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
6 |
Rule Yourself |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
5 |
Coop Tries Harder |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
4 |
Huyana |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Smokin Hot Factor |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Bungalow |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Double Naught Spy |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Totally Unexpected |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Arizona Baby |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Take Warning |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Witchy’s Laststand |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fifties Music |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Tapit High |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Artie’s Cozy |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Admiration |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Playing Hooky |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Good Man |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Real Factor |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Goodluckjohnathan |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Monumental Vending |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
6 |
Saintly Samurai |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Victory Rally |
1.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ghoul’s Night Out |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hashtag Selfie |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pearl Gem |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bring Me Answers |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
To Be Honest |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Compagno |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Broad Reach |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Daddy’s Cozy |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Robin Hood |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Strike |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Tennessee Wildcat |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
My Brothersledge |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Belfour |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Jump Jive an Wail |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
3 |
Chateau de Vizille |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
10 |
4 |
Uno Dancer |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Jarvis Steel |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Furyofthenorsemen |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Lime House Louie |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Blackjack Baby |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
My Enigma |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Clever Triad |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
3 |
Hill Shadow |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
4 |
Devine Entry |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Allthewrongreasons |
1.60 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lovely Games |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sonic Boom E Jet |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Free to Trump |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mike the Tiger |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sandy Lane |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Creepy the Crab |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Maru’s Raven |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Sippin’onbubbles |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
The Tortoise |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Finbar |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Swinging Star |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
6 |
Jorrin |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
4 |
Gorse |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
5 |
Keep It Up |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Premier Event (JPN) |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Red Clay Road |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.