July 21, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Coco Kisses | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chasin Lucas | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jabber Now | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Desired Edge | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rocketann | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Shelly Ann | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Into Rissa | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gringo Star | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smuggler Union | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Son of a Royal | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Two Hail Marys | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Michael Mundo | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wheresthemoneyjack | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gryffindor | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ghostly Who | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Horse Greedy | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Allaboutaction | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | K Thirty Eight | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conqueror | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Graycaster | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jan’s Reserve | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Alex | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vasilika | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shenandoah Queen | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shy Carmelita | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Algorhythmic | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Moonless Sky | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Melissa Jane (GB) | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barleysugar (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sheeza Milky Way | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dreamarcher | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pricedtoperfection | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | No Treble | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Its Gonna Hurt | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seven Scents | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mason Dixon | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fortnite Dance | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carbon Zero | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Knight’s Cross | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Creep | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Linemaker | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Hip Ninety Three | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Beautiful Becca | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Libby’s Tail | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vexatious | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tammy’s Window | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jazaalah | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Proud ‘n’ Ready | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goseecal | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Meal Ticket | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Halo Darlin | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Roi | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Red Livy (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Copper Fever | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Glorious Hour | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – San Diego H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Samurai | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Prince of Arabia | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | El Huerfano | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Curlin Rules | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Accelerate | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Dorr | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Harlan Punch | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Two Thirty Five | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catalina Cruiser | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Dabster | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – San Clemente S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Streak of Luck | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | War Heroine | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ms Bad Behavior | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Ollie’s Candy | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rockin Ready | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Sienna (GB) | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Animosity | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flammetta | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lexington Grace (IRE) | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | West Palm Beach (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Ms Peintour | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ahimsa | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dulce Ride | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Pursuing The Dream (IRE) | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Easy Keeper | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Istanbul | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Rowayton | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Synthesis | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magnificent McCool | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Truck Salesman | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pirate’s Punch | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Meister | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yak | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frosted Grace | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dueling | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bustin Aprilstones | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Camino Song (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Innocent | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Party Dancer | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amuse | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ten Count Out | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dearborn | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chiffon | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Take a Leap | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Resolu | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Star Kissed | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stella Sweeper | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.