July 20, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Bobs Your Uncle |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vincent Van Gogo |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mr. Discretionary |
1.60 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
We Made It |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cousin Jimmy |
15.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Any Darn Day |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Microscale |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Guthries Collar |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kamehameha |
20.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Tam Tam Attack |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Final Forum |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
King’s House |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Awesome Standard |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bobcat |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dr Bolt |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Connemara Coast |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sventastic |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Elsa |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sexyama |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Varenka |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Skyphos |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Melodrama |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Who U Gonna Call |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Empire Panther |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tricky Rose |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Queens Or Better |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
T Sizzle |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Clearly Super |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Don’t Poke the Cat |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Royal Crusader |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Birdies Honor |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Houseer |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Runninginthevale |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Asset Allocation |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Visual Effect |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
7 |
Daniel Le Deux |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
Astute Warrior |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
11 |
9 |
Beltway Bob |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
King of All Media |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
12 |
10 |
High Society |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Papal Law |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sir Brahms |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
6 |
Silver Romeo |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Markakis |
30.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
5 |
4 |
Francesco Flier |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Star Eighty |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Baltimore Street |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Springtime Wind |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Lost On the Stairs |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Better Way |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Sazerac Girl |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Joe’s Gift |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
15 |
15 |
Miss Al Dila |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Doit for Spite |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Lily Rae |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
11 |
Bye Bye Blues |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
My Chesa Charm |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
11 |
10 |
Glittering Judy |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Sister Says |
2.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
14 |
12 |
Scarfree |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
4 |
War Queen (IRE) |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
7 |
Rithm and Rap |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
3 |
Zero Zee |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
5 |
Kuznetsov |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
9 |
8 |
Words of a Feather |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bourbonstreetlady |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Corvid |
20.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Tac Up |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Joyful Noise |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Trafficplan |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Majestic Pic |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Contrarity |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Thirst for Truth |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chobee Girl |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Scoreearlyandoften |
6.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nairet |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sharon’s Thunder |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Oldies But Goodies |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
1 |
Cheese On |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Big City Blues |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
5 |
Expedited Vision |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
9 |
6 |
Pete’s Play Call |
0.60 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
3 |
Global Citizen |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
4 |
No More Talk |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4A |
2 |
In Arrears |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
10 |
7 |
Onemoregreattime |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
1 |
Victory Chimes |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Lilibet |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
War Tweet |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Lill Mave |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Daniella |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Full Faith |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Blame Julie |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Astrea |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stratosphera |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Conquest Valkyrie |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Our Anthem |
10.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Carolina Ice |
20.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Annie Boo Boo |
15.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.