July 19, 2018 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Country Girl | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Let Me Fly | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peace and Joy | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Van Berg | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pandora’s Box | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Johnnie | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smoking Romance | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Magic Command | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roberto Gato | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Handful of Stripes | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Explosive Lake | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dorfman | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Candy My Boy | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Count N Gold | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cherokee Charlie | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Desanctus | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Naivasha Montana | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Greencastle Tap | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Galaxy’s Wildcat | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Somewhere Else | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guntoter | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Aceituna | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stalker | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beananti | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Her Way Or No Way | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alleyes On Wilma | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz On Fire | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classy N Elegant | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancewithfire | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Laine’s Peach | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Alittlecomplicated | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Erratic Behavior | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Intercession | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Do It | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ubetcha Ima Bumper | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prefer Diamonds | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spinning Pegasus | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Omega | 0.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mistermischievious | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Major Tempo | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drastic | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gospel Free Key | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Iowa Stallion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tin Badge | 0.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dreamin My Dream | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dance for Ransom | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Where’s Wendell | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wolfzing | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Bad Dude | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rudy’s Boy | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Iowa Stallion Filly Stakes S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sister Lisa | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | One Last Empress | 0.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gold Maker | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shelikstinybubbles | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fire to Rain | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’mthebossrightnow | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Woke Up in Chrome | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Irish Music | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Myla | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Today’s Talk | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Have to Go | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Still Wondering Y | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Who’s Your Kitty | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kaylee | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Newport Gal | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Shaina | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.