July 18, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pappou | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | General Ike | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Popular Kid | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Preacher Roe | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Out of Patience | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Just Kidding | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Above Board | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crown the Kitten | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carville | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Samdar | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ayacara (GB) | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Upo | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kylemore | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | So Long Sailor | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gray Admiral | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jimmy Chila | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ashley’s Big Guy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapitha Bonita | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Eighty Three | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gentrified | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ketos | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Junior Gilliam | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hitters Park | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gonna Fly Now | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Burn Me Twice | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papa Turf | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Staxx | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Zo Lo’s Lov | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Flying to the Line | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Dichotomy | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Opus Won | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Square Peggy | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blueberry Princess | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gotta Be Lucky | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jackie Star | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Athleisure | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Magistrate | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hotitude | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Sonic Boom | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Force (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ritzy A. P. | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ann Arbor Eddie | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arms Runner | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eckersley | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ya Gotta Wanna | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bird Is the Word | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vending Machine | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kencumin (FR) | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fabozzi | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Castle | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whoop Whoop (NZ) | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Play Hard to Get | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Regulate | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Giant Influence | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | River Echo (GB) | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shivermetimbers | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Show Me Da Lute | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Divisor | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jay Makes Us Laugh | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Desert General | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kona Coast | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Queen of the Track | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Brill | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bizwhacks | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | True Validity | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Angel Alessandra | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Diosa | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Del Mar May | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vangogo | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barbadolla | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Palm d’Oro | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Splashy Kisses | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Oceanside S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Soltero | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Risky Proposition | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Calexman | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Move Over (GB) | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Heartfullofstars | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Afleet Ascent | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Wedge | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Desert Stone (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 14 | More Honor | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Faversham | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arawak | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pepe Tono | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Restrainedvengence | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Respect the Hustle | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Artie B Good | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shane Zain | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Super Duper Cooper | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blame Joe | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Fought | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Impression | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aurora d’Oro | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fawree | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Closing Time | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roaring Fork | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Polity | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bear Down Cats | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Forecheck | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Zipman | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Starting Bloc | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Data Central | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Blitzkrieg | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sellwood | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Henry County | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucky Soul | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kazan (IRE) | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Senditlikechilly | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Goren | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Breakers Isle | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | King Caymus | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.