July 17, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Moon Shock | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | She’s Running Free | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Navajo Kitten | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hide a Rose | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Don’s Escapade | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Zafiro Azul | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Belle of Bowdoin | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ghazi’s Stone | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hersisterisachub | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Whenthedovescry | 1.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Storm Factor | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cardcounter | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Big Giant Head | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Current | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Staynsidethecircle | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kook’s Kat | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Yankee Tar | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | West Shore Drive | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shoes N Sox | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Take the Stromboli | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guaranteed | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speedy A. P. | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Harbor | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stoneville | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charlees Finest | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Best Choice | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Authoritative | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Let’s Parlay | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Love You Babe | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Initforthelonghaul | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stay West | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Mettemarlamelva | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Abets Abet | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tripocha | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Cool | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bang the Drum | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Missin the Big Dog | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honor and Courage | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jw’strickymischief | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thefundsarelow | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mess’n With Buddy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Teflon Tony | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Musical Comedy | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Huntin’theholidays | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Court Note | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Drosselmagic | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Smokin Nitro | 1.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Share the Ride | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Curtis | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lazarus Project | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dancing Bull | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ruble | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Games | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chelios | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Wildcat | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No More Strippers | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He’s Cotton | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honorable Service | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cause for Surprise | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hey Braciole | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Picnic | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toby Girl | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Risque’s Diamond | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sky Gold | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Your Pace Or Mine | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bertranda | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Convivial | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Senor Louie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Chateau de Vizille | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | Hodor | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Seat of Honor | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Devine Dental | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Pizmo Time | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sight Line | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Colonel Juan | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | J. J.’s Candy | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Jimmy Who | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Big Lie | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Our Lunatic | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Drinking Rules | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smooth Don B | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Danny O | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Incubator | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sugar Train | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Guinness Spice | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Schliffy | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rebel Vow | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shur Fox | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.