July 16, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | One Bet | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bionda | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secondtimesacharm | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whimsical Delight | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slowpoke | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Editora | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Talks in Her Sleep | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doxa | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Instant Replay | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Da Winner Is | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 9 | Souper Knight | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | So Kitten | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Chovanes | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Will | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Ghostly Games | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | To the Stars | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Just Irish | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Edisto Bay | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Boston Darlin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Bellastar | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Celtic Queen | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Noontime Girl | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Flashy Moment | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Love That Fountain | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Matilda Rocks | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hope for the Dance | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Apollo’s Favorite | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | Playing Hooky | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Promontory | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Winter Union | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Jag | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Can Do Anything | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Breakers Point | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Inle | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salt Air | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tachyon | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nerve Line | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Tough Weather | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Da Wildcat Girl | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crystal Pier | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Krivoruchka | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Hen Madness | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dan’s Girl | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Momma | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fly and Flutter | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Congrats Graduate | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Moonshine Mistress | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Nevisian Spirit | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Degrees of Freedom | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ivanya | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Weiwaltz | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | So Who’s Back | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holiday Prayer | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Increased Scrutiny | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pop Rocks Lady | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Giolilmiss | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Misdriven | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My One and Only | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Digital Diva | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Timuquana Place | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Porte Cochere | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Socially Driven | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trusty Roll | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Boheme de Lavi | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Keswick | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 4 | SO BIG BOY | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 11 | BURN EM JOEY | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 10 | GENOVA JOE | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | BELLFASTT | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | RB WILD CARD | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | ZELLS BELLS | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | CAPTAIN BUSH | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | DESERT HONOUR | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | RB HOCUS POCUS | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | ZEPHYR CS | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | DBON TEMP ROULER | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.