July 15, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Guestimation 0.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Maxwells Legacy 0.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Appella 0.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Saints Marching In 0.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Open Sesame 0.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Above All Names 0.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lady Rebel 0.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Signature Spark 0.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Podgora 0.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Commission Angel 0.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Quixotical 0.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Lost a Sock 0.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Nashville Knight 0.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Singandcryindubai 0.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Dragon’s Cry 0.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Spanish Express 0.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Sanity 0.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Adios Muchacho 0.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mc Culley 0.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Shantelle’s Chance 0.00 3.4 7-1
6 6 Wardo 0.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Arrius 0.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Subliminal 0.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Absolute 0.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 We Take Checks 0.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Vision of Future 0.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Bee Quiet 0.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Walk Thru Jasper 0.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Place the Blame 0.00 2.5 5-1
10 9 Sugar Me Sweet 0.00 4 8-1
11 10 Bridlewise 0.00 4.4 8-1
12 11 Forest Lass 0.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Secret Masquerade 0.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 March of Dreams 0.00 6 11-1
5 4 Post to Post 0.00 6.1 12-1
6 5 Courtly Diva 0.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Mamita’s Chica 0.00 7.4 14-1
3 2 Black Sage 0.00 7.5 14-1
4 3 D’s Mulligan 0.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Giant Dreams 0.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Conquest Eliminatr 0.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Prideofdistinction 0.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Handsome Like Me 0.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Fire for Effect 0.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Zucker 0.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Lauderdale 0.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Davka 0.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Ginger Sky 0.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Western Trouble 0.00 3 6-1
8 8 Matthew’s Ridge 0.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Cobiloco 0.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Chill 0.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Armament 0.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Harper P M 0.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Differential 0.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Wedgewood 0.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Rock You 0.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ontario Matron S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Let It Ride Mom 0.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Gamble’s Ghost 0.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Just Be Kind 0.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Moonlit Promise 0.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Daddy’s Great Bay 0.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Malibu Bonnie 0.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Grizzel (IRE) 0.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Sister Nation 0.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 My Arch Enemy 0.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Malibu Uproar 0.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Viewfinder 0.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Love of Mine 0.00 4 7-1
8 8 Countryside Drive 0.00 4 8-1
3 3 Love Sick Kitten 0.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Polar Light 0.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 You’re Batman 0.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Grand Oasis 0.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Panther Key 0.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Butilovesyababe 0.00 3.5 7-1
11 10 Red At Last 0.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Corky’s the Name 0.00 4.6 9-1
9 8 Leo the Rabbit 0.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Switchblade 0.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Get’erdonebud 0.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Agent Eighty Six 0.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Guatemala City 0.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Lowi Vene 0.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Allied Instigator 0.00 7.3 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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