July 15, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bonus Card | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Attack Zone | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Smokin Beau | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Rythmofsimmard | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Octopythius | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sebas Ranger | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Clemson and Watson | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quanahs Revenge | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Classic Act | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Baby Alidett | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Scottish Sky | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Katie’s Champ | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Maddy’s Salsa | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 3 | Sister Drama | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 2 | Proud Legacy | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 1 | Moonshine Cate | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Precious Intent | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nikee Kan | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Heidi Ho | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gioielli | 1.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sunshine Smiles | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gone Blues | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Is That Magic | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kick On Kid | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Enigmatica | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dahlonega | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | R Paper Chaser | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mobeautiful | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Beach Girl | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Love and Lemons | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Sunshine Treasure | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Bird of Peace | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Trapped At Sea | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Balada | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hello Juliet | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Treatherlikestar | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gemstone Linda | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coquivacoa | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Competitive Player | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bellimbusto | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | King Wildcat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Stay On Base | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Yawl Lyin | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Agujero | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Tiz From Boston | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Toe | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eights and Aces | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Keppel Bay | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Real Fast Music | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Son of Greatness | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Glorious Mystery | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lavish | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cookie Dough | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Socially Astray | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Calinas Song | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hill Valley | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oblio’s Wish | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aurora Nation | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Motion’s First | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Biamonte | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lapantalones Fance | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Madison Blues | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Pillango | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Vinyardnina | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Mo’s Ginny | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Stay Safe Kitten | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miss Visconti | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Unspoken | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Trophy Chaser | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Felon | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackson | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vegas Tycoon | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Revolutionary Road | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chinomado | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Running for Riz | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guerreron | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | R Little Secret | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Onebrethatatime | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sum Roar | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reagan’s Rose | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fallen Leaf | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Celtic Moonlight | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speed Star | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proper Princess | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Greatness | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | It’s Easy to Say | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Archivero | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Katano | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honza | 1.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lovingrdsimmar | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joe Cain | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jacopone | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pokerist | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rey Astray | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Phenomenal Gem | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Troya | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Blouberg Beach | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ortiga (IRE) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Freudee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Peaka Ballerina | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Undertherain | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Nightstorm | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Schmiss | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Miss Sophia’s Star | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Extra Salsa | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Be Sure Lisa | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.