July 15, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Little Miss Julia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Patriotic Endeavor | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Timely Tradition | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Madame Barbarian | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Midnight Bounty | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Majestic Kindness | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Aunt Babe | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Team of Teams | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Crimson Frost | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Quidura (GB) | 0.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8A | 5 | Fifty Five | 0.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Delectation (GB) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Impression | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Store (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Byself | 0.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hay Field | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Hayne No Gayne | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Held Accountable | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiznow’s Smile | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ascender | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Danielle’s Pride | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Union Patriot | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barrel of Destiny | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gilda Marie | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | That’s Smart | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lets Dance Some Mo | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Handle With Care | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mazmania | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Animauxselle | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Banty’s Girl | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Final Form | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Problem Solving | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Laura’s Patriot | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tiffanys Freud | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paranoia | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shanghai Glory | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Thank You So Much | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ten Eyck | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Joe’s Smokin Gun | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Space Captain | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run for Boston | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Platinum Nugget | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Ninja | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Minus Two | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Man of Chrome | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Breathing Shadow | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Scrutinize | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Last Chant | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blessed Honour | 50.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Lynbrook S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sander’s Empire | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Positively Jean | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Native Dawn | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | She’s Trouble | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tossup | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Princess Pinky | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Icy Lady | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnitesalright | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maiden Beauty | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Mystique | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lila Ruth | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Spring Folly | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Frosty Gal | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peril | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forever Daisy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Puparee | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Birthday Gift | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Golden Sequence | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Latin Love Bug | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Con Em | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Raging Fire | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Laura’s Posse | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wheresthebarber | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Trinni Juice | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Horn Ranger | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10A | 9 | Over Salty | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mr. Skittles | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Skies Forever | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.