July 15, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Smart Like a Fox 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Vapor Viper 1.80 3.1 6-1
2 2 Pleasant Street 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Purr’s Along 15.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Maxi’s Taxi 4.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Guard Your Grill 30.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 R Four O One K 6.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Looktheotherway 1.20 2.5 5-1
2 2 Hope N Wishes 8.00 3 6-1
6 5 Road to Zanzibar 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 McKinli’sbabyblues 1.80 3.4 6-1
1 1 Doda Doodleallday 12.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Heartspoke 2.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Dreamofjean E. 1.80 2.3 4-1
7 6 Lunar Approach 4.50 2.9 5-1
5 4 Pop By 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Bizzee Mischief 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 1 Soul Singer 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Silvera 12.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gwendalyn Sue 1.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Itsagimme’s Girl 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Regal Serenade 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Diastole 20.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Klassy Karalynn 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Logi 20.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Lookin At Vanessa 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Lion Love 30.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Greeley’s Special 1.60 2.2 4-1
6 6 Oscarific 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Greeleys Spirit 2.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Mr. Stein 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Giant Breeze 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Assaulter 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Mr D’s Way 10.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 No Boundaries 12.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Singingintheheat 3.00 2.2 4-1
10 9 Aktabantay (GB) 2.50 2.8 5-1
7 6 Royal Commish 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Bajan Rhythm 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Midnight Blue Note 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 Iter 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 Boom Box 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Saidtomyself 15.00 7.1 13-1
6 5 Flashdance Road 20.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Prince Arlo 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Rio Seco 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Fort Dixie 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Miracle Mountain 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Jericho 15.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Chicago Blues 4.00 2.7 5-1
8 6 Smokinwatchstopper 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 3 Big Dinner 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Croce d’Oro 10.00 4 8-1
10 7 Producer 8.00 4.4 8-1
13 9 Irish Proud 12.00 5.8 11-1
11 8 Papa Caliente 12.00 6.6 12-1
6 5 Taruca 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 New Atlas 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Omega Moon 2.00 2.4 4-1
9 9 Superstar Leo 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Student Body Left 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Blue Wings 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Alittlevodka 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Karen’s Cove 6.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Monday Pirate 12.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 River Cactus 15.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Cast Iron 20.00 7.2 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.