July 14, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Peace Control | 0.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Katla’s Fury | 0.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sugati | 0.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Georgian Dancer | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Victor’s Real Life | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shishka | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Poquito Bandito | 0.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Precious Badge | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dhani | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Negotiations | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Sheriff | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shelbourne | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hardy Candy | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Afleet Connection | 0.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mine Fast Philly | 0.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maritimeconnection | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fabulist | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blu Collar Romance | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gossip Isle | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | High Seas Romance | 0.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dakota Diva | 0.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ambitious Moon | 0.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pictures of You | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bernardinis Arrow | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spell | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Islay Inlet | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | And So It Goes | 0.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Auntie Katherine | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grey Seal | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Burnt Island | 0.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kitten’s Dilemma | 0.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fiery Bear | 0.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hythe | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rare Appeal | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Incredible Dee | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dynamite Kid | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Therealquaff | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Appella | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Above All Names | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lady Azalea | 0.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Verrazano | 0.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sonny’s Dream | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Kitten | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peut Etre | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Script | 0.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Vacancy | 0.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mystery Day | 0.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roansmoke | 0.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Not Orbinary | 0.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Love to Learn | 0.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goldrush Glory | 0.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dea | 0.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whatta Girl | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Perfection Cat | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Spell | 0.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cobra Sophie | 0.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Split the Sea | 0.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Victoria S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Armistice Day | 0.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wallace | 0.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Newfie Express | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crawl From the Bar | 0.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Drink of Water | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Front Nine | 0.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Waldorf | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Fever | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perlarana | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Young Lord | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Executive Sight | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Distinct Passion | 0.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Clever Now | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Hey Howie | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Night Watchman | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Diamonds and Roses | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wall Street Wolf | 0.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Forester’s Forum | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Storm Hawk | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Victory L. | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Factory | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Court Battle | 0.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Legal Gump | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.