July 14, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Sharpen My Senses |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Paso a La Reina |
12.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
New Found Treasure |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Too Much War |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Real Wicked |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Three Days Grace |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Legacy to Gold |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wiwi Celebration |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lady Nina |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fairfield |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
K K’s Revolver |
1.40 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Menehune |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jacks a Warrior |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Salty Kinda Dog |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Salsa Capuchino |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Il Biondo |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Moonstricking |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dreamin of d’Wild |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Quanahs Revenge |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Moreno Mojo |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Tracking Stock |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Treys Midnite Moon |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Summer Spice |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Erre Erre |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hardened |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Put the Hat Back |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Midnight Joker |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Burton |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Our Boss |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
12 |
11 |
Mosca |
20.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cold Az Ice |
30.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
The Son Wind |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Charlie the Greek |
1.80 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jaiden’s Best |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Peace Points |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Over Limit |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Moonlight Bandit |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Strong Composition |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Too Wild to Repent |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Sultana |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Manolete |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Erasmo’s Dream |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sahara Storm |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Son of Oahu |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Golden Decision |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Beneficiary |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Malibu Strings |
4.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Eye of a Jedi |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Minute Madness |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Escarapela |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
My Chinumado |
20.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Fifth Avenue Flash |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Bull Dozer |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jersey Street |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Vinnardini |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Charlie Atlas |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Journey’s End |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Wild Mongolia |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bonnie Boy Hunter |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Potochon |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Mascarpone |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Outrun |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
12 |
12 |
He’s a Leader |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Russian Wine |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Unbridled Coyote |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gran Network |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Haybub |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Captain Bober |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Triple Serious |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
El Commendatore |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Padre |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Leaveittoquay |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
King Agrippa |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Grisaceo |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Astro Empire |
1.60 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
10 |
9 |
Goldenlineof |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Train Game |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cosmic Shift |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mozo Bello |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Treasure Bay |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Karamchand |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Money Come |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Channeledbythewind |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Vigas |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
My Charming Clyde |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Barefoot Cove |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
R Cat Daddy |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Hot and Heavy |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kinghood |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
8 |
Fan Base |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
6 |
Giant’s Voice |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Night Rythm |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
It’s a Given |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
11 |
9 |
Grand Nenuco |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gentle Johnny |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
9 |
7 |
To Your Health |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Amanecer |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
J J Junior |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Salary Cap |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Beau Splash |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lovechasingshadows |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mr. Morningstar |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Don Fager |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Little Guy |
8.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rulership |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
First Thunder |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Treasure Coast S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Amaluna |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Island Reward |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lipstick City |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
No Sweat |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Unbridled Courage |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Josdesanimaux |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Vendita |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sweet Story |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Princess Ariel |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tegla |
50.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Allurstra |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
High Francesco |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hard Worker |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pure Style |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Little Todd |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
General Gold |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
A B G Guerrero |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Paddy |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sub Factum |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Davids Boy |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Brilliant Boy |
15.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gone Diesel |
30.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.