July 14, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
5 |
Izzadora Bella |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Seville’s Princess |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
7 |
Lubricus Soror |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
2 |
Yesterdaysplan |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Elegant Angel |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
4 |
Whatshakin Baby |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Di |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
3 |
Clever Sarah |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
2 |
San Cristo |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Now We Are Free |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Machu Picchu Sky |
2.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1A |
2 |
Supah Czech |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Star of Sarava |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Purim’s Gold |
4.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Joey Cap |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Willow Bob |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Starship Reina |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Distinctive Lady |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
La Key |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Golden State |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Beautiful Maiden |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Aiden’s Rag Doll |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1A |
10 |
Off the List (IRE) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Brie’s Lucky Charm |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rain On The Dune (GB) |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Nevisian Sunset |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Twiga |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bellerue |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Glowing Sunset |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Devilinthedetails |
10.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Decorating |
8.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tapanista |
10.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Carl Hanford Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Warrioroftheroses |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Hoffenheim |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Name Changer |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Even Thunder |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Twocubanbrothersu |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Prince of Hempt |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Monongahela |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
6 |
Thanks Mom |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Farcical Feline |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Contrarian |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Hazana |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Silla Manila |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
7 |
Smashing Serena |
8.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
8 |
6 |
Nickyrocksforpops |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1A |
9 |
Vindictive Ways |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
1 |
8 |
Dorothy Vaughan |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
5 |
History Made |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
2 |
1 |
Owesaycanyousee |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Hockessin S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Colonel Sharp |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Midtowncharlybrown |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Rockinn On Bye |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Recruiting Ready |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
4 |
Stallwalkin’ Dude |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
6 |
Chublicious |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Blue Y Gold (ARG) |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
11 |
7 |
Always Sunshine |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
3 |
Laki |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
5 |
It’s the Journey |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
2 |
The Man |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Kent S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Blame the Rider |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Untamed Domain |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Carrick |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hot Springs |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Way Early |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Duc de Calas (FR) |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gunnison |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Archaggelos |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Golden Brown |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Delaware H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Farrell |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Elate |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mopotism |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Unbridled Mo |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Nikki My Darling |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Fuhriously Kissed |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Teresa Z |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Proper Discretion |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sneaky Betty |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
My Giant |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Dancing King |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Haywired |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Blow the Whistle |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Sir Bond |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Jack O Liam |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Best Offer |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.