Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 14, 2018

July 14, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Low Is Laine 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Third Card Down 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Lady of Miracles 2.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 J C S Star 2.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Catania Rose 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Saturdaynightfling 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Day Wife 10.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Wild With Style 30.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Frederica 15.00 6.1 12-1
10 9 Princess Rashelle 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Pebbles Cove 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Town Fair 2.50 2 4-1
10 10 Reconsider It 3.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Smart Throb 10.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Gotcha Gabin 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Merlins Muse 4.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 Speed Khaleesi 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 The Giant’s Vow 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Hot Possebility 12.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Justenuff Hope 30.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Truly Courageous 15.00 8 15-1
7 7 Protect the King 30.00 9.8 18-1
4 4 Candy Road 50.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Rockville Centre S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 La Fuerza 0.80 2.1 4-1
4 4 What the Luck 1.60 2.7 5-1
5 5 Bustin Mach Four 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Hushion 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Red Zinger 10.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Forest Blue 1.60 2.5 5-1
6 6 Ranger in Paradise 4.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Lex Vegas 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Voluntario 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Missle Bomb 3.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Major League 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Will Did It 15.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Karma Delight 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Pegasus Red 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mango M 4.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Packed House 3.00 4 8-1
6 6 Bad Guy 5.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Pirelli Tower 3.50 4.6 9-1
9 9 Panic Attack 15.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Paynter’s Prize 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Millies Party Boy 15.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Fair Archer 15.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Riendo 15.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Curlin’s Legacy 15.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Partagas B C 20.00 9.9 19-1
10 10 Golconda 30.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Enthusiastic Gal 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Tiz R Bella 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Questeq 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Acorn Street 4.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Tanda’s Joy 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Discreet Image 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Kat O Mine 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Missimard 12.00 6 11-1
9 9 Alley to Calvary 20.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Impazible Creek 12.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Elegant Jem 2.50 2.6 5-1
8 7 Honey Graeme 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Say Cin Cin 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Magari 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 My Girl Annie 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Princess Mikayah 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 2 She’sakittykat 10.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rumble Doll 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Team of Teams 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Aunt Babe 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Malibu Stacy 3.50 2.6 5-1
9 6 Epping Forest 2.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Jc’s Shooting Star 2.50 3.3 6-1
8 5 Miss Gossip (IRE) 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Sylphide 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Boos (FR) 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Forbidden Apple S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Disco Partner 1.80 2 4-1
7 7 Projected (GB) 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Offering Plan 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Voodoo Song 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Pocket Change 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Blind Ambition 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Mr Havercamp 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Posse’s Paradise 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Puffin Patty 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Reyana Reya Dreams 20.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Tequila Sunday 3.50 2.6 5-1
8 7 Queen Apollo 4.00 3.3 6-1
13 12 Dazzling Speed 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Trinni Ninja 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Lightworker 8.00 5 9-1
9 8 Long Eyelashes 5.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Troffissio 12.00 6.8 13-1
11 10 Spontaneous 15.00 7 13-1
10 9 Gentle Annie 15.00 7.3 14-1
6 5 Chenais’ Posse 30.00 8.1 15-1
7 6 Sweet Green 30.00 9.9 19-1
12 11 First Dawn 50.00 10.2 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.