July 13, 2018 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Jackie Blu |
2.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sweet Platinum |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
City Sage |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mesa Terms |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Susan’s Reward |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Runarounddancing |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Ranger Tillman |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Pivotal Charlie |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Major Perfect |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Summersweet Road |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
11 |
10 |
Northern Big Iron |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sturgeon |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Awesome Max |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Miss M Kays Deputy |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Somebody Knew |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Carbaugh |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Early Shipman |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Charlie’s Lucky |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Stormin’ J. J. |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Candy Can |
5.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Done Wondering |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
The Real Mojito |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kauai |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Cha Cha Now Y’all |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Mizz Fabulous |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Battle Queen |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Elizabeth Rules |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Glitzy Lady |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bossy Em |
4.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tracy Racy |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hello Darling |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tiz Tricky |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Indiscret Ransom |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Storm Fury |
10.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
See the Ranger |
1.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wise Old Guy |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ferrari Road |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aberoth |
4.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pivotal Edge |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jett Bound |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Kaluga Bob |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Topper T |
1.60 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Red White and Loud |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Torington |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Handsome Deputy |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Steel Wheels |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Izihonorable |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
It’s the Swede |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Royal Kingdom |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Dixie Lover |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Shut the Gate |
1.20 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
4 |
Faydra’s Mine |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Maddymax |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
No Notion |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Fabulous Girl |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Quiet Spring |
1.80 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mo Mo |
2.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kurious Kennedy |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Juliet’s Music |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shelikstinybubbles |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Country Club Pool |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
One Fine Dream |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Port Aggregate |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Matchlock |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Travel West |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
One King’s Man |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bubbas Dixie |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Shweet Persuasion |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Holiday Man |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Proper Decorum |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jessica’s Star |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.