July 11, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Patriotic Endeavor | 1.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Special Risk | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Curiousncuriouser | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forres Lily | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Miss Julia | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dwizard | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Legion Storm | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | San Juan Diego | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suas | 1.20 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unsullied | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tamzine | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Doyouknowsomething | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | White Flag | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vici | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Weekend Hideaway | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snowday (FR) | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Glory Stars | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Celebration (GB) | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss Vinegar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | No Deal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Wise Strike | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Her Latest Film | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | St Edmond’s Girl | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Majestic Won | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valentines Romance | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Raven’s Rabbit (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Michael Wonderful | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Congruity | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Year of the Kitten | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Pirate | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Alwanees | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Spectacular Plum | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Steelersfanforlife | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Take Charge Aubrey | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Satisfy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Pas de Deuce | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pink Twist | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rachel’s Blue Moon | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Salty Smile | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Strawberry Tequila | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Puffery | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mazmania | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carlisle Belle | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blame the Thief | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Blurred Line | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ides of Arch | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gotham’s Storm | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honor Up | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Phone Funky Munky | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carthon | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Colonel | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Shane | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Harlan’s Hunch | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rapt | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Three Perfections | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gucci Factor | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Morocco | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kulin Rock | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dr. Edgar | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Okeamo | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Leap to Glory | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shuffling Madness | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our American Star | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Neutral Zone | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dr Vunno | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Thefinalcrazydude | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ragnar Lothbrok | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.