July 7, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Rockaway (IRE) |
0.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
If I Had a Nickel |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Chadinator |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Impeachment Ace |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rare Ruler |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Unusual Boy |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Jump the Tracks |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jonas |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pulpit’s Dirty Red |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jersey’s Heat |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spend It |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Eleazar Warrior |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Street Zombie |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
North County Guy |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Captain N. Barron |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Seattle Encounter |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Hollywood Sky |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
War Moccasin |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ib Prospecting |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lob City |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Atrevida |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Utana |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bonneville Flats |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
On a Toot |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Arrowsphere |
1.20 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Turing Machine |
1.40 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Aha |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Halo Girl |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Time and Chance |
1.60 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Always Believe |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Red Shelby |
1.80 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Back Beauty |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rcatcanscat |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Tizway That Way |
1.60 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Todos Santos |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Princess Leia |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blondy’s Reward |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lovely Linda |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Great Lady M S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Marley’s Freedom |
0.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Skye Diamonds |
1.40 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Turkish Tabby |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Phantom Proton |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Best of Me |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Holy Plan |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
All Net |
1.80 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Beat the Bushes |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Family Rules |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ramona Lover |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Who Loves Eddie |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stately Command |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Ebony Star |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Paradise |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jewelof California |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.