July 7, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
A Princess She Is |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Lill Mave |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Solar Vortex |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hey Mabel |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Wolverette |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
War Tweet |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jacobella |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Congratstomywife |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Starlet Lady |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lagarde |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pensy Moll |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Bodega Bay |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Trafficplan |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Mila Jane |
1.80 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dad’s City Girl |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kresses |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fanniebellefleming |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
5 |
Polarization |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Participate |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Spicy Girl Red |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Emelina |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sugar Cane Girl |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Holy Scat |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Race and Shine |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Springtime Wind |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Street Miz |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Miss Gray |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lemon Avocado |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Whenallelsefails |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Charming Emmy |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Menorah Lora |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mais Oui d’Or |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pictura |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ms. Picadilly |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Corinthian Sho Grl |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Buddha Kai |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Pendrell Moon |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Zaptuit |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Kierland |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lovely Games |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wise Men |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
French’s Quest |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ambition Mission |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Trade the Pick |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Valley Cal |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Peperoncino |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Charismatic Blue |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Doctor Padmore |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Turbin |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Tam Tam Attack |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Swagger |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Scout’s Honor |
1.80 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
13A |
10 |
Henry the King |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
11A |
9 |
Against the Win |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Came Back |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Flyingtobechilders |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
He’s a Pussy Cat |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
8 |
Princetonian |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
7 |
Therestishistory |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
4 |
3 |
Tequesta Storm |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mountain Cry |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Chocomount |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Riteamontofmschief |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Zap Cat |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Praise the Moon |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Done Acting |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Bombonero |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
16A |
16 |
City Gold |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Kid Jeter |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
10 |
8 |
Uhwarrie Sky |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
11A |
9 |
Conquest Falcon |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Barin |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
6 |
Bustoff |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wildly Clever |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
You Like That |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
9 |
7 |
Just Steve |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
5 |
Roman Warrior |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Concern S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Navy Commander |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Make the Rules |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Midnight Poker |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Whereshetoldmetogo |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Old Time Revival |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
5 |
Threes Over Deuces |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Birdies Honor |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ascertain |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
My Sistersledge |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Magic Hatter |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Enthrall |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ladies’ Privilege |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
O. K. Kay |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Quick Witted |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Longwing Lily |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tanya’s Gem |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
So Innocent |
15.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Stormy Blues S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
D J’s Favorite |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Nellysford |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Miz Mayhem |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Classy Dancer |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Factorofwon |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Smokinpaddylassie |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Almond Roca |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sensible Myth |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Limited View |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
History Supreme |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Belles Orb |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
11 |
10 |
Wise Gal |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Rainy |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Ticker Tape Parade |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
A Lotta Wine |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Redeemed Gentleman |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Contingent Payment |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Zeke the Streak |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Da |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
1 |
The Bobby |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
11 |
10 |
Rapunzels Cat |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
12 |
11 |
Voodoo Valley |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
9 |
8 |
Gallo de Oro |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
3 |
2 |
Always Wilbur |
30.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.