July 7, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Trip the Queen |
1.80 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Michelle’z Laugh |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Little Hidden Gem |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Inca Princess |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Quack Quack |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Run Gal Run |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kwaina |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nellie’s Cat |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hechicera |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fend for Yourself |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Game Day Drama |
2.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Resistance Jak |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Don’t Tap and Tell |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nation U S A |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Toms Chuchu |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Brilliant Boy |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Loose Note |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Light Breeze |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
On Cruise Control |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Son of Oahu |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Gran Chief |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
King Mauro |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
4 |
Zitman |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fast Fire |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
5 |
Indian School |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Changing Leads |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
6 |
Golden Away |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Capriati |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Equifox |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bella Ciao |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Final Adventure |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Steady Rock |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spanish Exchange |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Starship Rocky |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Solve |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Joshua’s Comprise |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
The Money Train |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Cheech Thunder |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Martini Kid |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
3 |
W W Concerto |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Mr. Sultana |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
2 |
Love My Cotton |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Martha Washington S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Unstablenthemornin |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Kathy’s Clown |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
6 |
Camila Princess |
1.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
5 |
Midnight Soiree |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Prospectively |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
7 |
Silver Bay |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
4 |
Strike My Fancy |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
R Paper Chaser |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
3 |
Whiteheelgirl |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Treasured Info |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Awesome Park |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Charlotte the Brit |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Science |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Gerrys Big Win |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Precocious Miss |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Starship Nala |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Blue Sky Venezuela |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
5 |
Chloe Butterfly |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Peggity |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Prospective Moment |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hot Hippie |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Venezuelan Spirit |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gia Lia Joe |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Serenity Moon |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Awesome Clue |
6.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
J. P. Calling |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Soroa |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stage Review |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Force |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Diamond Square |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dance Around |
1.80 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
McManaman |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Taken to Church |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Albert Charles |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Get a Move On It |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thurston |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Son Son Son |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mass Approval |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Scotuscare |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Katano |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Wildcat Saint |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Arpinella |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Little Plumber |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Wild Wigglin Jack |
12.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Marquee Moon |
3.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mr. Miserable |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Twistcat Candy |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Resident |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Moonstricking |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Wizard Jak |
20.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Crimson Spade |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ready With Honor |
30.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Aunt Betty |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Charming Kid |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tikitaca |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Amazing Amelia |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hurricane Roberta |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Luz Estrella |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Peacfulwarriorgirl |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Casual Caro |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Misty Phyllis |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Art Major |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Not Surprising S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
The Green Mo’ster |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
10 |
Coltandmississippi |
1.80 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gemonteer |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tactical Pursuit (IRE) |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Big Possible |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
13 |
12 |
Shana Tova |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Zippy |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
General Paddy |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Silent Citizen |
2.50 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Millionaire Runner |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pass the Butter |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
14 |
13 |
Majestic Secret |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
12 |
11 |
Bad Boy E. J. |
30.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
7 |
7 |
Notsosubtle |
30.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.