July 7, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Money Game |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Timuquana Place |
1.80 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lady Gregoria |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Magnificentmindset |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Porte Cochere |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Theresa’s Honor |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
4 |
Wicked Sister |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Lusitania (IRE) |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Storm Cry |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bodella |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Animal Lady |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lear Avia |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ballylin |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
On Shore Leave |
20.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
1A |
3 |
Vera Verdi |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
2 |
Lost Scroll |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
2 |
1 |
Honest Mistake |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dr. Llenado |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Knutsford Park |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Alarming |
1.60 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kowboy King |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Instant Replay |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
To the Stars |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Can’t Catch Me Now |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Just Irish |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Trickizar |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Kaiser’s d’Light |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
9 |
Buff’s in Love |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Mel’s Gone Wild |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
8 |
Unbridled Escape |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
7 |
Private Drama |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
6 |
Missworldvenezuela |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
1 |
Nellysford |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Well Acquainted |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
3 |
Kitty’s Right |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
4 |
Afar |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Flying Phillip’s |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Estrella Grande |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Simuladora |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Important |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tears and Roses |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wilburn’s Princess |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ms Elegance |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sunshineinmypocket |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Cape Henlopen S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Warrioroftheroses |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Postulation |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Utmost |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Big Bend |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Decisive Triumph |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
9 |
O Dionysus |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Renown (GB) |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
Vintage Matters |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Atlantic Sun (GB) |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
3 |
2 |
Broad Reach |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
More Front |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Worth His Salt |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bannon |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Socaroo |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Opening Remark |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Durrett Lane |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Zartax |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jazz Man |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Robert G. Dick Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Creative Thinking |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tricky Escape |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
La Manta Gris |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Esquisse (GB) |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Giovanna Blues |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Palinodie (FR) |
2.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sweet Sandy |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Good Roll |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Broken Bridle |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Dashing Beauty S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tequilita |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Absatootly |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Bertranda |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
5 |
Lake Ponchatrain |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
4 |
Angel At War |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
6 |
Jessica Krupnick |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
2 |
Bonita Bianca |
4.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
10 |
7 |
Liz’s Cable Girl |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
1 |
Cairenn |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
3 |
Day by Day |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Delaware Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Gio Game |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Cascanueces |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Red Ruby |
3.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
Coach Rocks |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Prospective Lady |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maya Malibu |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blue Strike |
10.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mo Shopping |
8.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Takechargedelilah |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Blue Union Rags |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
RB HOCUS POCUS |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
LAZUR HESS |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
BIG CORK |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
BURN NOTICE MC |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
TWICE RICH |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
ZELLS BELLS |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
RAINEING SAND |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
CANDY LAND MAN |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.