July 7, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Social Paranoia | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Meade | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unionizer | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Larceny | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dillon Rocks | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bronxville | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Road Home | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twelfthofneverland | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Street Vision | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Candid Desire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Phi Beta Express | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Life in Shambles | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gold for the King | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | King Kranz | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Breaking the Rules | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Mr. Brix | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Daddy D T | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mighty Zealous | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Western Reserve | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | American Guru | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Attribute | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sarrasin (GB) | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Parauari (FR) | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Adonis Creed | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nate’s Tizzy | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bonjour Baby | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sun Lover (GB) | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Halloween Horror | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cullum Road | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Red Knight | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gauguin (GER) | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Im the Captain Now | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | County Court | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Holiday Bonus | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Haul Anchor | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wine Not | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Exulting | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nigel’s Destiny | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Candygram | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Split Verdict | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harangue | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clutch Cargo | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fallinginloveagain | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Dwyer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mendelssohn | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Noble Indy | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rugbyman | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Firenze Fire | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Trumpets | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seahenge | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fixedincome Larry | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Belmont Sprint Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Limousine Liberal | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shaft of Light | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whitmore | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Favorable Outcome | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lewisfield | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eye Luv Lulu | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Belmont Oaks Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Significant Form | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Signare (FR) | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toinette | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Athena (IRE) | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paved | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Capla Temptress (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thewayiam (FR) | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fatale Bere (FR) | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mighty Scarlett | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chipolata (FR) | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Suburban S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Name Changer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Dr. Dorr | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hoppertunity | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | War Story | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Diversify | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tapwrit | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | The Lieutenant | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Discreet Lover | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Take Your Guns | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sorry Erik | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Zanotti | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Belmont Derby Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Analyze It | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hawkish | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Catholic Boy | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maraud | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hunting Horn (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Boy Jack | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Encumbered | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kingstar (FR) | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Channel Cat | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Dr Vunno | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Frozen Daiquiri | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Dream Passage | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | My Mr. Wonderful | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ghost Giant | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pequeno Grande | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Dove Shoot | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Casa Rae | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Wild William | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stag of Sylvia | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Last Chant | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ridolfo | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blessed Honour | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.