July 4, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bangla Dancer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dolly Stormy | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Cantata | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Quidi Vidi | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Brew | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Timberline | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hassah (GB) | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Waterkloof | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sandy Bay | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | United | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Trouble | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Edge of the Nile | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Johnny Bayi | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Adopted Family | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Niigon’s Legacy | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Greek Justice | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scatter the Silver | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Safari Kitten | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deesse Nike | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Field Party | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elgin | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Remember Gizmo | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Argybargy | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Weapon | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Happy Kitten | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fine Grind | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Loyalty Boy | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Successful Brew | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Timeforastar | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dunderrow | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gentleman Jackson | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Be the Change | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Undercover Cat | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dan the Tin Man | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Milwaukee Magic | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tobruk | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kitten Candy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Greeley | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blutarsky | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Swagman | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Macho | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glacier | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Escondera | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speightstown Time | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Salieri | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The Zip Zip Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sniper | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Who’s Got It | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Ted W | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Salsa Bay | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Constantino | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Villageofvibank | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Stormy Rush | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | R U Watchingbud | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Oakton | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Colleen’s Sailor | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Kapellmeister | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Court Savvy | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.