July 4, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cheese On | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Grandpa’s Dream | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Unbridled Gift | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Correjon | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Big City Blues | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bronx Sandman | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Love in Excess | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Chica | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Petipa | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Mighty Mini | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Secret Rose | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Federica | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Only One Wish | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Ballylin | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Starlet Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Spicy Dancer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | On Shore Leave | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Princess Mirren | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Animal Lady | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Baylor | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jumpin Jett | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lil Moresummertime | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pride Leader | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Alydarius | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Telling Me Softly | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cailin Alainn | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lucky to Run | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Entrez Encore | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hay Buck | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dirt and Diamonds | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Just a Whim | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Varenka | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Marine Layer | 1.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Proper Manners | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Icy Lady | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Singinginstilettos | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Rest Assured | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hirschbein | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | He’s a Pussy Cat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Franklin Towers | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Jeezum Jim | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Socaroo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Visual Effect | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Carve | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bobcat | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | High Multiple | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | El Grillo | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Montauk Man | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Now We Are Free | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Da Winner Is | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Champions Maternal | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tipit | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rumblin Kyle | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Souper Knight | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Horse Spotter Carl | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Iranistan | 1.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Negotiate | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Real Factor | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Survey (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Degree Burn | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clutch Catch | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Apollo’s Favorite | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | In Arrears | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | R Limo Joe | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Halfback | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Boy Lenny | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flying Alex | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jrock | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | MISS PARADISE | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | TM MADDAMEE | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | ROYALLY BRED | 1.40 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | RV ROULETTE | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | RISKY RED | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | JUNIA | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.