July 1, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Forres Lily | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Daria’s Angel | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paula’s Pistol | 1.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Special Risk | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stars Wilburn | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Preziosa | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Picture Day | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Won Love | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daring Prospect | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Satin Sheets | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stay Fond | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Archumybaby | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Saginaw S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Twisted Tom | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pat On the Back | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hit It Once More | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Can You Diggit | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wine Not | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Social Paranoia | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dillon Rocks | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Road Home | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Meade | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twelfthofneverland | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unionizer | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bronxville | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Have Another | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Professor Snape | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pop the Hood | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call Triple A | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devils Halo | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Killybegs Captain | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Danny California | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Minsky Moment | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honor Up | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blurred Line | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ides of Arch | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blame the Thief | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jupiter Rising | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Phone Funky Munky | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Colonel | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Gotham’s Storm | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carthon | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Payne | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Throw the Fade | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Sriracha | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aqwaam | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Illudere | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Metaphorical | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lonhtwist | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hersh | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Venerable Bede | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Halloween Horror | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Clutch Cargo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gauguin (GER) | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Im the Captain Now | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Not in Charge | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holiday Bonus | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | County Court | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Haul Anchor | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lunar Cycle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Won’t Be Missed | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Leading Storm | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fast as Kitten | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Time Expired | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thank You So Much | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bigsouljoel | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cross Multiply | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Command Code | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | There Goes Jose | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stag of Sylvia | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ninja Boys | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fleet Admiral | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Frost | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.