June 30, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stop Me If You Can | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | The Postmaster | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Market Bubble | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Durkin’s Call | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Plebe | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doups Point | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sayhellotomylilfrn | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiger Man | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Land Mine | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Miss Mimosa | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Dancing Breeze (IRE) | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | La Moneda | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Sophia | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy’s Song | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sweet Sting | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Designing | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fleet Irish | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kenyan | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maimo | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Polar City | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Set Me Up | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quai Voltaire | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Perfect Sting S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | La Sardane (FR) | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thais (FR) | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lido | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In the Lee | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Feeling Bossy | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pas de Soucis (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Gibraltar (FR) | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Our Circle of Love | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Length | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Birthday | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wisconsin Night | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | That’s Speightful | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Echo | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Plans to Prosper | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nantucket Red | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coexistence | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Value | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fashion Week | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good Marks (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Agreeable | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shiraz | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nutzforboltz | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’yer Mak’er | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colonel Tom | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Five Star Bunt | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Outrageous Bet | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | News Anchor | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aqua Bel Sar | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Mother Goose S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mo Smart | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Coach Rocks | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Gio Game | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Bisou | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Road to Victory | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | My Miss Lilly | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indy Union | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Poshsky | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Reflected Star | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mambo At the Gym | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Sawyer’s Hill | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Red Rifle | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Neoclassic | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | King of New York | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Maybe | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | California Swing | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blarp | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nile Prince | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Contormar | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.