June 30, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Only Liquor | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pale Hose | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kyzan | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roskilde | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Franklin County | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oltre’ Oro | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dumbmark | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Catkins | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Love Shack Baby | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daddy Issues | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Draw It Now | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lillet | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hippie Gem | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sister Warrior | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Purely Boy | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chas the Man | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pat’s Shoes | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Takin the Sloroad | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Regal Kitten | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Dann Good | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cookies Are Good | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cairn | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Battle N Away | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Danny B | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Checkmate Charlie | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | French Minded | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Assaulter | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Straight Up Smarty | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Silvera | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | She’sadowntowngirl | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunset Gables | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pura Lica | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aubrey | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Penny Lynn | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Blue Note | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jack Snipe’s | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Monday Pirate | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cast Iron | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Savage Battle | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Let’s Go Mick | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gray Mensch | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grey Mask | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keen On Gene | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Roar of the Lion | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yellow Wolf | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sacred Legacy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Garey Park | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Desierto | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maxi’s Taxi | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reap | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | All Strikes | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gran Duque | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Antrim’s Giant | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Two Nephews | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Milardo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Achikulak | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Proquestor | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Switheral | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Thunder Down Under | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maligator | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Great Emperor | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Talking Zip | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cloud to Ground | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spring Solo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Go Oshie Go | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Red Corvette | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Nate the Natural | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Gain Ground | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Hey Pretty Boy | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Tapizone | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Golden Gift | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Romeo O Romeo | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Afleet Spring | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Surf Shack | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.