June 29, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Annie Cat | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Springtime | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dance Like Katie | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elusive Aura | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sonora Way | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prada Storm | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Smokin Here | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Warleggan | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Shine | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fort Commander | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Landing Gear | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trumpified | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bartbaalu | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Invictor | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Aviyah | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Release the Memo | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ginger Snap Dance | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rosa Star | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Urban Design | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Canustaytonight | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Last Surprize | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Klassy Karalynn | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dame of Thrones | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meeka | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amazing Annie | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Viola Marie | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz T N T | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bearing Secrets | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Congaree Gal | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rain Expression | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Templesis | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lauren’s My Girl | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Special Conquest | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jinvie | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Abigail | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Odachi | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Real de Jalpa | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Altered Mind | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Glory Train | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Northern Alliance | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | For My Mom | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Star of the Market | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mystique Artiste | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Cookie | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Harlanday | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rock Can Tour | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | G. C. Crackerjack | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Richiesgotswagger | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | R Fast Life | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | President Elect | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Archiemyboy | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Christian C | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Spectacular Road | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Happy Wanderer | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spring Up | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Ruffolo | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bold Rally | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Moon Over Montana | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Honovi | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Manfred | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.