June 28, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cinnamon Twist | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Tiger Mom | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | We Will Re Joyce | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Myrcella | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chiefs Lil Pearl | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Asem | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ballerina Headline | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peaked | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Parasail | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dragon Flower | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shaula | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Apples | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Warrior Mom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Congrats | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Bragging Rights | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sheza Factor | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Copper Cowgirl | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mongolian Rahy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tandyssweetchariot | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Molly Got Even | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Dreamer | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yolanda’s Stone | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gabby Lady | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Derby Luck | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Scatapulp | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swing Thoughts | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dichotomy | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rolinga | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jellybeankristine | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flying to the Line | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lunagonnamoonya | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Hunch | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Pray for Corday | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Timing Lucy | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Legendary Parfait | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Rachel | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swallows Inn Gal | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Bomber | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spacerika | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Derby Treasure | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | M D’s Jewel | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Loves Image | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rocket Fuel | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Four Gaels | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Love | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rafter One | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Giant Mark | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pundy | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sterling Wager | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Land of the Free | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jen’s Journey | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Many Treats | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Love a Honeybadger | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kimberlea K | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Highland Lass | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Newport Breeze | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silken Spy | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cioppino Pasadino | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Stella Sweeper | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Izzys Express | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Seattle Drop | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Western Mongolia | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Curlina Curlina | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jicama | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tinian | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cee Sam’s Girl | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Solar Corona | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whatyouciswhatuget | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unusual Gator | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Feeling the Heat | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.