June 22, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Valiant Lady | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Kantastic | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lethal Leanne | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heavenly Hill | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Fine Tuned | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fabriana | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pierette | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mistress At Sea | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Agi’s Cait | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Jilly | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rosa Star | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exotica | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Samis Car | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Above the Bar | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | P R Radio Star | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Saidtomyself | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Side Pocket | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 4 | Student Body Left | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Richiesinthehouse | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alittlevodka | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Wildwood Dancer | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | On the Lam | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Prada Storm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Congaree Gal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Jami Racer | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Somewhatoptimistic | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bearing Secrets | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Devine | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daneira | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Rosie Bear | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tomasita | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Netela | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | W W Russian Gold | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gran Duque | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Caliente | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | King of the Score | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gary Luke | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Party On Dude | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ghost Position | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Landing Gear | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bet She Wins | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Hidenseek Sally | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Go Lady Jay | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Black Angel | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Zaphical | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Darling Sofia | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pop By | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dustem Carolina | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hope N Wishes | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lemon Grove | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | McKinli’sbabyblues | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Looktheotherway | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Longway Home | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Devout Type | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kiss’n Rosie | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Milliondollarhiway | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R Four O One K | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lighten Up Frances | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Limestone | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Under the Table | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Golden Story | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Nobiz Like Sue Biz | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Savie | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | West Ghost | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Exactness | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Two Minute Man | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Strong Response | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Pinata | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.