June 17, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Agi’s Cait | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bizzee Channel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Strong Will | 1.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Canustaytonight | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pradar | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Patch’s Lugh | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dazzling Truths | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lovely Loyree | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Love ‘n’ Happiness (BRZ) | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Daddy’s Boo | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Mertie | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sweetbaby | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | In the Mood | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Golden Dart | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Alazan Shiner | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Greyt Oak | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Andreas | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Runningfromthefeds | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Supermans Cape | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Maxus | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Rio Seco | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Two Pair | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Party Marty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Summer Castle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | McHenry | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Return of the Rock | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 7 | Carnoustie | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flatter the Queen | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Senor Blanco | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Not Chopped Liver | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Good Intent | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Estragon | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hide the Evidence | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Revolt | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Unbridled Giant | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Laflowmylaxbro | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Paddybdancing | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rous | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Show’em Pop | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Sligo Poet | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bootleggin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Royal Commish | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Pale Hose | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dumbmark | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hawk’s Image | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Pablo Del Monte | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Jive Daddy | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Solar Flair | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Made to Fit | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Kyzan | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Key to the Bridge | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Roskilde | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Girl’s Night | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Full Count | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sharing a Laugh | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Superstar Diva | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cholla | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Belle Brezing | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Staria Peach | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quirky | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fortressa | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chosen Wisely | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Penny Slots | 50.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Word of Truth | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Saturdays Hangover | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mizzen Lynx | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bar Ryder | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Spanish Coyote | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brother Cesare | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | My Baby Boy | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Parrkaveli | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Greeleys Ice | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cruisin On | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.