Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, June 16, 2018

June 16, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Arewehavingfunyet 2.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Ritzy Lass 2.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Patriotic Endeavor 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Smile Big 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Timely Tradition 3.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Milaya 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Jcs American Dream 8.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dr. Shane 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Changewilldoyagood 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Banana Thief 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Lord of Love 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Mission Command 6.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Manoffire 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Callant 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Here Comes Tommy 15.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Reata’s Reward 1.20 2.1 4-1
7 7 A Song for Sue 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Princess Maeve 2.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Princess Mikayah 30.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Gentle Annie 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Frosted Mint Chip 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Wild With Style 30.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Sweet Green 15.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Crimson Frost 0.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Dolce Lili 2.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Tizzelle 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 4 Chubby Star 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Phantom Opening 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Danceland 4.50 4.3 8-1
4 3 Lion in Wait 8.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Brooklyn Bobby 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 More Than a Saint 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 End of Spirits 4.50 2.6 5-1
9 7 Clear N Convincing 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 King Orb 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Assay 12.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Honey Dont 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Hierarchy 8.00 5.7 11-1
10 8 Tiz Morning 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Letterman 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5A 5 Bunyaan 10.00 SCRATCH
1A 1 Holding Aces 10.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Abounding Legacy 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 4 Nominal Dollars 2.50 2.9 6-1
9 8 Missle Bomb 1.60 3 6-1
7 6 Breeze Burner 15.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Risk Management 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Rossie Val 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Two Down One to Go 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Bobby On Fleek 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Hey Jabber Jaw 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Love That Jazz 10.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Dancetrack 2.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 All Star Red 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Our Independence 3.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Tale of E Dubai 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Anytime Anyplace 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Too Fast to Pass 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Excluded 15.00 6.5 12-1
12 10 Saratoga Heater 8.00 7 13-1
4 4 Canarsie Kid 15.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Francis Freud 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Wine Not 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Battle Midway 4.50 SCRATCH
2 1 Kulin Rock 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Catch a Cab 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 2 Lunaire 4.00 3.8 7-1
11 9 Hembree 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Compagno 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 5 Slot 6.00 5.7 11-1
12 10 The J Y 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Max Velocity (IRE) 8.00 6.4 12-1
10 8 Fire On Fire 20.00 7.5 14-1
9 7 Hello Holiday 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Dancin Renee S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Still There 4.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Holiday Disguise 1.20 2.2 4-1
7 6 Absatootly 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Cozzy Spring 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Picco Uno 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Bluegrass Flag 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Bobby’s Song 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Tammany Giant 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Dustin’s Comet 20.00 SCRATCH
16A 16 Carmine’s Honor 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Perfectexpectation 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Ferrad’s Party 3.00 2.5 5-1
11 10 Causforcelebration 4.50 2.6 5-1
10A 9 Cross Multiply 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Moses Supposes 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Casa Rae 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Won’t Be Missed 30.00 7.1 13-1
13 12 No Worries Mate 20.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Ridolfo 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Soup Baby 12.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Straitouta Congtin 20.00 8.2 15-1
12 11 Step to the Bank 50.00 9 17-1
3 3 Blue Skies Forever 30.00 10.2 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.