June 16, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Four Left Feet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Wake Up Joe | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gorgeous George | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Irish Proud | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Nyoman | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Spanish Justice | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cast Iron | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Electrifying | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jane’s Pride | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Track Magic | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Greeleys Delight | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Feet | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nurse Megan | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Midnite in Miami | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bettyblue | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roman Bird | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fishers Island | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Fonda Romana | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Salty Scatt | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Antalya | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Broadway Duchess | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Paulette | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Aviating | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Silver Skyler | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Springfield S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Demand Ransom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Pass the Gravy | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Anthony | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chief Oakie Dokie | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wile E Peyote | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Bombay | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Valya’s Vengeance | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Appealing Allure | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Makada | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Gwendalyn Sue | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Regal Serenade | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spark Joy | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Flashing Tiz | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Bird Key | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lemon Drop Twist | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Moonlight Mischief | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Smokinwatchstopper | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Chicago Blues | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Letthebigshot Roll | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 3 | Intrepid Humor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | Hot Dad | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fort Ridge | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Big Dinner | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Purple Violet S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jean Elizabeth | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hayworth | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bramble Queen | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strollin the Bayou | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal’s Position | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Regal Serenade | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Momma Joann | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twin Deuce | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | She’s Coal Fired | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hide and Street | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Allaire | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sullyvin’s G G | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Tam | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Emily’s Entourage | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Meetmeforasmoke | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Je Suis Belle | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Hal’s Mischief | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Wind Cheater | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bar Ryder | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Drinkwiththeirish | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Richiesonarampage | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Last Spring | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Heza Tinker | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Diamond Dave | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Vindicated Honor | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Prudent Hero | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Gem City Jewel | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jennovodka | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The Shoe | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.